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The model also nailed a whopping three teams in the Final Four last year. Head to SportsLine now to see every pick. The Jayhawks enter Saturday's showdown averaging Kansas is led by Ochai Agbaji , who's averaging The senior guard is coming off a productive performance against the Miami Hurricanes, recording 18 points, five rebounds and four assists.

The Jayhawks are knocking down Villanova, meanwhile, is one of the best three-point shooting teams in the country, averaging 9. Guard Collin Gillespie leads the Wildcats in scoring, producing He's also been lethal from behind the arc, making over 40 percent of his three-point attempts this season. SportsLine's model has these teams combining for points, which is why the over is hitting in 80 percent of simulations.

I'll ride the hot hand, and yes, that means Murray State gets to play and beat Kentucky in the second round, a la Loyola Chicago doing the same thing to Illinois a year ago. Both mid-majors obviously can never get in-state big brother to schedule them.

As for my Final Four: Kansas has the easiest path by far. That's a default pick. I've maintained the entire season that teams as low as the 4-line are good enough to make it to New Orleans. I'll stick with that and go with Big Ten co-champs of the regular season Illinois, which is one of the best 4-seeds in recent memory.

On the left side of the bracket, a Gonzaga-Duke regional final in San Francisco would be phenomenal. Gonzaga rates as the best team in the sport, so I'll go with the of Drew Timme and Chet Holmgren to get it done, then I'm sticking with my preseason national title pick, Purdue, to come out of what I expect will be a noisy and entertaining East region. Gonzaga's my pick to win the national championship because the Holmgren paired with Timme is the best in college hoops.

Kansas to the title game is more of a value play, plus KU has a top-five guy in Ochai Agbaji. Mark Few finally gets it done and makes history. There have been great Gonzaga teams -- even some better than this one. But this is finally the year.

GU has the offensive and defensive ceiling to get there, and it's experience, length and improved athleticism wind up being enough. Bulldogs script a terrific college sports redemption story after falling one game short a year ago. Absolutely should not be the case. This team is just as capable of winning it all as last year's team that went and finished as the national runner-up.

Its guard play isn't the strength it was a year ago, but its frontcourt play is even better, led by footwork king Drew Timme and 7-foot teammate Chet Holmgren, the frontrunner to go No. David Cobb Click to enlarge David's bracket For a team as dominant as Arizona has been this season, the Wildcats have flown somewhat under the radar due to the fact that they play in the Pac, which reverted to mediocrity in Make no mistake, though. Arizona is an elite college basketball team with all the ingredients of a national title winner.

With an excellent duo of rim protectors in Christian Koloko and Oumar Ballo, the Wildcats check the defense box. Offense is where they thrive, however. First-year coach Tommy Lloyd has seamlessly implemented the Gonzaga philosophy, and he's got a deep rotation of quality guards and wings capable of carrying it out, led by a potential lottery pick in Bennedict Mathurin. Chip Patterson Click to enlarge Chip's bracket This is not one of the most talented teams that Bill Self has had at Kansas, but it's supremely confident and rounding into form with full health and high-level basketball heading into the NCAA Tournament.

I love their versatility in terms how many different players can get buckets while still having a true alpha in Ochai Agbaji. Picking the Jayhawks to the Final Four was easier than pulling the trigger on the title, as I think Arizona and Kentucky are both worthy contenders to win it all. Elsewhere in the bracket I've got a couple 1-seed upsets with Baylor bowing out early to a high-variance UNC squad and Gonzaga falling in the Sweet 16 to a UConn team that might be the most dangerous team outside the top-4 seed lines in the field.

For the second consecutive season, the Bulldogs are the overall No. They are built differently this time. He can also score from anywhere on the floor. It will not be an easy path. Winning six games in this tournament never is.

But I think the Zags will at long last get their shining moment. But Gonzaga is a team on a mission after nearly running the table a year ago and falling short at the final step. In a fun up-and-down game, the Bulldogs have the better point guard, best NBA talent and best college basketball player.

This Gonzaga team isn't last year's squad, and is a bit more flawed, but it's certainly good enough to finish the job. With that many teams comes big-time pressure to make a dent.