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Both of these factors lead to a depreciation. While the interest rate differential is an important factor for capital flows and the Australian dollar, other factors also matter for investors when deciding how to allocate their investments, such as the risk of investing in Australia relative to other economies.

The terms of trade and commodity prices There has been a close relationship between the terms of trade and the value of the Australian dollar over a long period of time. The terms of trade measures the ratio of export prices to import prices. In general, an increase in the terms of trade is associated with an appreciation of the Australian dollar, while a decline in the terms of trade is associated with a depreciation of the Australian dollar.

Commodity prices have a large influence on the terms of trade commodities are goods such as iron ore, natural gas and agricultural products. This is because commodities account for a large share of Australia's exports and so movements in commodity prices result in movements in export prices. For example, an increase in the price of iron ore typically leads to higher export prices and an increase in the terms of trade. This is associated with an increase in demand for Australian dollars and an appreciation.

Commodity prices and the terms of trade can also affect the Australian economy through increased investment. When commodity prices increase, exporters may decide to invest in expanding their production capacity to take advantage of higher export prices. This investment has typically been funded from money capital flowing into Australia from overseas, which supports demand for Australian dollars and can lead to an appreciation. During the mining investment boom, a very large increase in commodity prices from the mids through to led to large inflows of foreign investment to help expand the production capacity in Australia's resources sector.

This reflected the increased demand for Australian dollars and the more positive economic outlook for Australia relative to other countries. See Explainer: Australia and the Global Economy — The Terms of Trade Boom for a detailed discussion of the mining boom and how a higher terms of trade affects the exchange rate and the Australian economy. International trade Australian dollars are also bought and sold to facilitate the international trade of goods and services.

When Australians export or sell goods or services to an overseas buyer, the overseas buyer purchases Australian dollars to pay the exporter assuming the export is paid for in Australian dollars. As a result, an increase in the demand for Australian exports also increases demand for Australian dollars in the foreign exchange market and an appreciation of the Australian dollar. Conversely, when Australians import or buy goods and services from an overseas seller, the Australian importer sells Australian dollars to obtain foreign currency to pay the overseas seller.

In this case, when Australians demand more imports, the supply of Australian dollars in the foreign exchange market increases and the Australian dollar depreciates. Box: Trade prices and quantities — an example To illustrate how international trade affects the demand for and supply of Australian dollars, consider an Australian exporter who sells 1, units to a European customer. Prices and inflation The theory of purchasing power parity PPP connects the level of exchange rates to the level of prices between economies.

PPP suggests that, over time, exchange rates adjust so that the cost of an identical basket of goods and services is the same in any two countries. For example, if goods and services in Australia are expensive relative to the same goods in other economies, over time, demand for Australian goods and services should decrease.

This lowers the demand for Australian dollars and causes the Australian dollar to depreciate as explained above. A lower value of the Australian dollar then decreases the price of Australian goods and services for foreigners, who now require less of their own currency to purchase Australian goods and services.

PPP states that this process of adjustment should occur until Australian goods and services are no longer expensive relative to those in other economies. The Big Mac index relates the exchange rate in many countries to the relative price of a Big Mac hamburger, a good that is available almost everywhere in the world.

Short-term Drivers Over shorter periods of time, or on a day-to-day basis, the value of the Australian dollar can move closely with a variety of factors, including changes in risk sentiment and speculation. For example, if investors feel that the outlook for economic growth is more positive than before, they will be prepared to take on more risk. Often this coincides with an increase in the demand for Australian dollars. Investors in other financial markets are observed to respond in similar ways to changes in risk sentiment, such as in global equity markets.

This means that movements in the Australian dollar exchange rate have broadly followed those observed in global equity markets at different points in time. Typically, the Australian dollar appreciates when prices in global equity markets increase, and depreciates when prices in equity markets decline. Investors also may speculate about future movements in the exchange rate for a range of reasons, and buy and sell Australian dollars to make a profit, which affects the exchange rate.

Market Functioning and Foreign Exchange Intervention The RBA's approach to foreign exchange market intervention has evolved over the past 30 years as the Australian foreign exchange market has matured. Despite having a floating exchange rate, the RBA can still intervene in the foreign exchange market. Again, thank you for the delivery and when i have anything to do with the Philippines again, if i need to get plane tickets, send money or to send another box, I will be using FOREX Australia. O'Connor This is my first-time here in perth aus.

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